NFL | Feb 06, 2023

Super Bowl 57: Odds, Picks and Predictions

By Harry Bazley

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Super Bowl 57 is fast approaching and with the biggest football game of the year, comes plenty of opportunities to beat the odds and make some cash.

Now, with all the different lines out there, it can be tough to find the best selections for your parlay... And that's why we're here. We've done all the hard work for you, and searched through all the odds and lines we could find to find our favourite bets on the Super Bowl.

Philadelphia Eagles Money Line (-122)

Let's start off simple. The odds to win the Super Bowl.

  • Philadelphia Eagles: -122

  • Kansas City Chiefs: +108

As you can see, the money line odds for this year's big game have got the Philadelphia Eagles as the favorite to win Super Bowl 57. Now, it may not be the most exciting bet to place, but if you're a fan of the money line, I think Philly are a great shout for the 2023 Super Bowl winner.

Don't get me wrong, it should be a close game, but I think the Eagles defense will be the deciding factor in this matchup. As much as the San Francisco 49ers had some serious QB troubles in the Conference Championship round, the Philly defense completely shutdown Kyle Shanahan and they did the same thing to the New York Giants the week before. Honestly, they've been doing this all year and it should be no different this Sunday.

The other factor will be Jalen Hurts and the Eagles run game. KC's defense hasn't been overly impressive this year - most of their wins came down to the pure talent of Patrick Mahomes - and the Chiefs front line will be tested more than ever against Philly's offense. Hurts is the biggest dual-threat quarterback in the league right now and the depth they have in the RB slot could really hurt KC, especially if they take an early lead.

So, if you fancy a simple wager this weekend - taking the Eagles at -122 might be your best bet, it looks like the top seed is going to take it all the way.

Check out our moneyline odds comparison here to get all the live odds for Super Bowl LVII and make sure you get the most bang for your buck.

Haason Reddick to Record a Sack (-185)

The Eagles front line has been dominant this season, ranking No. 1 in pass-rush grade, per PFF. This will be one of Philly's biggest strengths heading into this matchup, especially with Mahomes playing on an injured right foot.

Now, KC's No.15 did play injured against the Bengals and still made some magic happen, but with Philly's front line, I can't see Mahomes getting away with much this weekend.

Haason Reddick is the biggest force at the line of scrimmage, leading the NFL in sacks this season with 19.5. Reddick will be up against Andrew Wylie for most of the game, who has given up 9 sacks this year... It's not looking good. I'm expecting him to get up to his usual antics, and find his way to Mahomes before he can hobble his way out of the pocket.

KC may be playing with half of their starting receiver lineup too, so Mahomes will need to buy a lot of time before Kelce & Co can get open. Reddick should be able to collapse the pocket before the ball gets out at least once, if not more.

Jalen Hurts: Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

On the other side of the ball, we're expecting Jalen Hurts to finally be at 100% and really put his legs to work.

Hurts averaged 50.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is right on the line, but I'm expecting the deep threat of AJ Brown to scare the Chiefs secondary into backing way off the line. If they do, this gives Jalen Hurts a fantastic opportunity to chew up all the yards they give him.

My money's on Hurts setting a Super Bowl record by rushing for more than 64 yards this Sunday.

DeVonta Smith: Longest Reception Over 23.5 Yards (-116)

While I expect Philly's run game to be a huge part of their game plan this weekend, forcing KC to come in close to the LOS to try and shut down any big gains on the ground, will only give Hurts the opportunity to take a few deep shots too.

The Eagles didn't have to pass much in their domination of the Giants or against the QB-less 49ers, but in the six games before that, Smith averaged 6.5 receptions for 97.8 yards per game. I'm predicting him to have a big catch this weekend against the Chiefs patchy defense.

Patrick Mahomes: Under 25.5 Completions (-132)

If you couldn't tell already - I HATE betting unders. It seems like every time I go for an under in my parlay, it's the one thing that doesn't come through. But this is my one exception in my Super Bowl prop bet picks.

I fully expect Mahomes to be forced to throw a lot, especially if Philly take a hefty lead heading into the half, which is not out of the question.

Despite this, I think the Eagles secondary will shut things down. Mahomes is going to have limited options in the air raid, with Smith-Shuster, Kadarius Toney and Mecole Hardman, all questionable to play this weekend. As a result, he'll be forcing the ball to Kelce and Valdes-Scantling and I'm predicting that the Eagles defense will get the best of him and almost-certainly pick one off.

The other factor in this bet is Philadelphia's impressive clock management. With such a solid run game, Nick Siriani has consistently drained time off the clock in his last two matchups which has dwarfed his opponent's time of possession.

I think Mahomes will be forced to throw, but I don't think he'll have enough outlets to get over 25.5 completions.

Isaiah Pacheco: Over Rushing and Receiving Yards (-116)

Perhaps the one weakness in the Eagles defense is how they handle running backs - ranking 19th in receiver ratings allowed to RBs and allowing an average of 4.4 yards per carry.

Isaiah Pacheco was a key factor in last round's victory, and could just help them advance to win Super Bowl 57 too.

While he struggled on the ground against Ciincinnati, the star rookie RB caught 7 of 10 targets for 76 yards, as an injured Mahomes relied on checkdowns and dump offs.

Meanwhile, CMC showed us just how you can run through the Eagles defense. Expect to see Pacheco take a fair few carries with the Chiefs injured receivers. I wouldn't be surprised to see the rookie in the end zone this weekend.

So, those are my favourite picks for Super Bowl 57, taking place on Feb 12 2023 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

I'll be putting all of these in a parlay to boost my odds. Good luck to any one who is taking a shot at the bookies this weekend. But remember, always gamble responsibly, and when the fun stops, stop.