As we approach week 5 of the NFL, you're probably checking out all the best odds and making your favourite picks for the games ahead. Now, this can be quite the task when you're faced with hundreds (if not thousands) of different odds from various sportsbooks. That's where we come in...
Today, we're going to give you our top NFL Player Prop bet picks for week 5. (All NFL odds are from 888sport)
Saquon Barkley: Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Barkley has been beyond explosive this season, rebounding from a tough ACL injury and proving once again that he's a top NFL running back. Although he isn't always finding the endzone, he's currently the No.1 RB in 2022 for rushing yards. Any fantasy player that picked him up has been grinning ear to ear any time he touches the turf.
His worst performance this season was in the Giants week 2 matchup against Carolina, where Barkley only logged 72 yards on the ground. This is just a few yards off the Over/Under for this weekend, and I can't see him hitting lows like this any time soon. New York are beginning to put the ball in his hands and trust what he can do.
Given his recent form and Green Bay's rush defence allowing an average of 120 yards per game, I can't see any reason why Barkley won't hit the century mark once again this Sunday.
This rushing yards prop bet easily takes the top spot in my books. Just look at what he can do with the ball:
Matt Ryan: Under 229.5 Passing Yards (-125)
The struggling Indianapolis Colts offense is likely to continue its unreliable form in Thursday Night Football's matchup against the Broncos. Matt Ryan has had two games below this cap of 229.5 yards and I can't see him having an easier time in Denver than he did against the Chiefs.
Now Ryan may find his favourite target, Michael Pittman, for a few explosive pick-ups, and without Jonathan Taylor out for the matchup, the run game could also be limited. But, I still think he could struggle to get the ball downfield with the tough Broncos defence, which has allowed an average of just 170 passing yards across four games.
This is not the kind of QB I'd put my money on to win:
Christian McCaffrey: Under 52.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
The Panthers' offense as a whole has been underwhelming this year. Baker Mayfield has struggled to get anything going in the air, and he's been joined in the backfield by an underperforming Christian McCaffrey.
The star running back has failed to hit his usual numbers, mostly due to the mess that is Carolina's offensive line. But regardless of the cause, McCaffrey's numbers have been far from the elite RB we know him to be.
McCaffrey has had two games under 33 rushing yards, despite being a consistent feature in the passing game. His average game totals 67.5 yards on the ground, but I have plenty of faith in the 49ers run defense to hold him to low double digits. San Francisco have only allowed an average of 73 yards per game from RBs and a few Mayfield scrambles could easily handle the bulk of that.
This was just after last weeks game... Do you think the problems are fixed yet?
Christian McCaffrey: “There’s a lot of problems.” pic.twitter.com/YBQk3353OY— Sheena Quick (@Sheena_Marie3) October 3, 2022
Brandin Cooks: Under 66.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Cooks has only clocked more than 57 receiving yards in one game this season, so I'm struggling to understand why the Over/Under is so high for the Houston-Jags matchup.
The Texans WR is currently 42nd in total receiving yards this year, and despite his talent in the position, the targets he's been receiving from Davis Mills has only declined throughout the first month of games.
This could be one of the easiest cash ins from NFL prop bets this week, unless we see Cooks break out of the mediocre form.
It's a good catch - but this is his only touchdown of the season. Mills doesn't look his way very often.
Jalen Hurts: Under 249.5 Passing Yards (-120)
The Eagles may have the only unbeaten record in the league, but Jalen Hurts isn't always as reliable as a 4-0 record may imply.
The Philly QB has the second worst completion percentage of all starting QBs in the NFL this year... Where the Eagles really thrive is in their run game and I don't see this weekend being any different as they head to Arizona for week 5.
Miles Sanders has seen a huge share of the snaps in recent games, while Hurts only clocked 204 yards in their last matchup against Jacksonville. I expect more of the same in the Murray-Hurts showdown.