With offseason training camps well underway, the odds for next year are starting to take shape. If you're a fan of futures like I am, Super Bowl betting is probably your go to. And with that being said, today we're going to run through all the odds to win Super Bowl LVIII, including our favourite contenders and best underdog bet.
Just like every other year in the NFL, all the offseason moves, free agency signings, draft picks and coaching changes make it nearly impossible to predict regular season records, let alone the Super Bowl. But we're going to make some far too early predictions anyway...
Super Bowl 58 Odds Preview
2023 Super Bowl Winners, the Kansas City Chiefs, currently sit atop the odds at +600. They are followed by the Philadelphia Eagles (+650) in a close second place, with the Buffalo Bills (+900), San Francisco 49ers (+1000) and Cincinnati Bengals (+1100) trailing just behind to make up the top five. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts (+10000), Houston Texans (+20000) and Arizona Cardinals (+20000) are three biggest underdogs for the 2024 season.
Check the full Draftkings odds table at the end of the article.
2024 Super Bowl Prediction: Chiefs (+600)
It's boring I know, but it's almost impossible to argue with.
They've hosted the AFC Championship game five years in a row and despite the competition in the conference steadily improving, Andy Reid and Co. always seem to stay one step ahead.
Reid created a team over the last five-or-so years that has never failed to impress. From the generational talents of Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Chris Jones, to top a tier supporting cast with the likes of Nick Bolton, L’Jarius Sneed and Creed Humphrey, the Kansas City roster is truly stacked from head to toe.
If you're a KC naysayer, let me remind you what went down the last time they were written off...
Heading into the 2022-23 season, there were league-wide concerns that the Chiefs just wouldn't be the same without Tyreek Hill, but boy were they wrong. Patrick Mahomes proved that he can get the job done in spite of that loss (and even on one leg in the playoffs).
And if you're a numbers person, the Chiefs have that covered too. Last year they ranked:
1st in points per game
1st in yards per play
2nd in touchdowns per game
2nd in 3rd and 4th down conversion %
2nd in red zone scoring %
It's clear that Mahomes leads the best offense in football right now and he managed to take it all the way to another Lombardi Trophy, with a defense ranked 16th in points allowed...
The only thing that can stop KC is if their defense gets drastically worse in this upcoming season and there's no reason to think that will happen.
Since January, the Chiefs signed DE Felix Anudike-Uzomah, S Chamarri Conner, DE Keondre Coburn, CB Nic Jones, DB Ekow Boye-Dow, DT Matt Dickerson, DT Chris Williams, DB Montrae Braswell, DB Anthony Hardy, DB Kahlef Hailassie, DB Martez Manuel, DB Isaiah Norman, LB Cam Jones, LB Isaiah Moore, DR Truman Jones, S Deon Bush.
That's not even all the defensive signings and it's only June... It looks like Andy Reid is fully aware that bolstering his defense should be his top priority this offseason and he's wasting no time.
So, no major losses (that they haven't replaced), plenty of fresh talent and the same Mahomes magic we witness every year.
All signs point to another dominant season in Kansas.
Other Top Contenders
Of course KC will be standout favourites for many pundits and sportsbooks, as the most consistently dominant team in recent history, but there are plenty of other squads that could make a surprise run and steal the crown from Andy Reid...
Here are my favourite back ups to the Chiefs.
Philadelphia Eagles (+650)
The Philadelphia Eagles have become the top choice for bettors in the NFC, above the 49ers. In DraftKings sportsbook, the Eagles' odds improved from +800 to +650, and after such a successful draft, I'm not surprised...
Nick Sirianni managed to pick up three Georgia Bulldogs on draft day - DT Jalen Carter, LB Nolan Smith, and CB Kelee Ringo - all of which won national championships in college.
Carter was touted as the top prospect in the entire draft before off-field controversy saw him fall down the board. But he'll be more than happy with where he landed, as he joins the No.1 defensive line in all of football alongside Brandon Graham, Josh Sweat and Fletcher Cox. Philly owned the trenches last year and they've only improved their lineup since then.
What's more? They added even more depth to their already impressive run game, trading for another ex-Bulldog in D'Andre Swift.
A.J Brown is still there to lead the receiving unit. Jalen Hurts is back for another year of dual-threat domination. And Jason Kelce is returning for his 13th year in the league.
Last season the Eagles ranked 3rd in points, 5th in rushing yards, 9th in passing yards and 2nd in yards allowed per game. They are top tier across the board on both sides of the ball and they're 2023 playoff run was nothing short of electric, despite losing the big game to KC.
If I was a safe bettor and didn't like the Chiefs, my money would be on Philadelphia.
New York Jets (+1800)
The big news in New York... Aaron Rodgers has left Green Bay and moved to the Big Apple. This may be the only reason there's so much hype around the Jets right now, but I'm on board.
The Jets 22-23 season has set them up for a great year ahead. Their rookies swept the awards, their defense ranked among the top 5 teams throughout the entire season and they have a talented group of young players in key positions who they can rely on. But Aaron Rodgers will need to lead his team from the pocket. The reality is, the Jets season will go as far as their quarterback play can take them. It's been the key problem for many years now, so if Rodgers can change that, they could go all the way.
The AFC East is one of the better divisions right now, with Buffalo being consistently great and Miami holding the potential for greatness, but New York could certainly land a Wild Card spot if they can at least beat out the Patriots with a good record.
Underdog Pick: New York Giants (+6500)
Now, almost every year in the NFL we see a worst-to-first turnaround and in a conference that has 12 of 16 teams at +1200 or more just to win the title, there's a huge amount to value if you can find which NFC team will pop next season.
The Seahawks certainly have a shot with the rise of Geno Smith. The Falcons could make some more offseason moves and stack their roster for a solid run in one of football's worst divisions. Even the Panthers could turn things around with a brand new QB at the helm in Bryce Young.
While all of these teams might have a shot at a ring next year, my favourite underdog is the New York Giants, and here's why...
I'll admit, it's unlikely they'll take the NFC East given the Eagles recent form, but I strongly believe the Cowboys are wildly overpriced in the odds at +1600, and New York will land second place in the division with a great record too. From there, it's certainly not smooth sailing but I can only hope that Brian Daboll learned a big lesson in the 31-7 Divisional Round loss to Philly last season. In his defense, taking the Giants roster that far was hugely impressive anyway, not to mention it was only his first season as an NFL head coach.
So, there you have it! All the up to date odds for the 2024 Super Bowl, as well our favourite bets and underdog picks.
Full Super Bowl 58 Odds Table
Here's how the entire league is shaping up in the sportsbooks: (Odds via Draftkings Sportsbook, correct as of 20/06/23).
|Kansas City Chiefs||+600|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1000|
|New York Jets||+1800|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+2500|
|New Orleans Saints||+3500|
|Los Angeles Rams||+6500|
|New England Patriots||+6500|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+6500|
|New York Giants||+6500|
|Green Bay Packers||+6500|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+8000|
(Header Image Credit: Eric Hartline - USA TODAY Sports)